Initial data from the ship-tracking company Kpler shows that Middle East crude oil exports, despite the continued attacks on vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, exceeded the pre-war level in the four days of the final week of September.

According to these data, exports rose above the pre-war level on 2 Mehr and from 5 to 7 Mehr, reaching between 19.5 million and 22.5 million barrels per day.

The seven-day moving average of exports reached 18.5 million barrels per day on October 1. In the period from March 2025 to February, before the start of the war against the Islamic Republic, the average was 18 million barrels per day.

LNG (liquefied natural gas) cargoes leaving the Strait of Hormuz also increased in September and reached the highest monthly level since February.

This improvement occurred alongside an increase in attacks on ships in and around the Strait of Hormuz. The maritime intelligence company Marisks reported at least seven incidents, one of which was a projectile from an unidentified source hitting the very large crude carrier “Kazema 3” on Mehr 9, which caused a fire.